January 02 2009

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2056; (P) 1.2212; (R1) 1.2321

USD/CAD continues to stay in established range of 1.1985 and 1.2389 as triangle consolidation continues. Though, short term outlook remains unchanged. Further rally is still in favor. Also, fall from 1.3005 should have completed at 1.1818. Break of 1.2514 resistance will confirm this case and bring retest of 1.3005/15 resistance zone. On the downside, though, below 1.1985 will indicate that fall from 1.3005 is probably resuming towards 1.1464 support instead.

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December 30 2008

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2104; (P) 1.2165; (R1) 1.2260

USD/CAD’s rise today suggests that sideway trading from 1.2389 might be completed. Intraday bias is now on the upside as long as 1.2065 minor support holds and further rise should be seen towards 1.2514 resistance. As discussed before, fall from 1.3005 might have completed at 1.1818 already. Break of 1.2514 resistance will confirm this case and bring retest of 1.3005/15 resistance zone. On the downside, though, below 1.2065 will indicate that fall from 1.3005 is probably resuming 1.1464 support instead. Read the rest of this entry »

December 18 2008

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 86.46; (P) 87.84; (R1) 88.59

USD/JPY’s recovery from 87.13 breaches 89.24 minor resistance briefly, suggesting that an intraday low in in place. Intraday outlook is turned neutral for the moment and some recovery could be seen. Nevertheless, upside is expected to be limited below 91.57 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 87.13 will target 100% projection of 124.13 to 95.77 from 110.66 at 82.30. Read the rest of this entry »

December 18 2008

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

GBP/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.32; (P) 138.20; (R1) 139.59

GBP/JPY’s recovery from 133.09 was limited below 140.71 resistance and weakens again today. 4 hours MACD’s cross below signal line indicates that an intraday top is formed and dampens the immediate bullish case. Intraday outlook is turned neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 140.71 will indicate that rise from 133.09 has resumed. Also this will affirm the case that a short term bottom is in place at 133.09 and bring rally towards 148.57 resistance next. Break there will confirm this case. On the downside, though, below 133.09 will indicate recent down trend is still in progress for key long term support at 129.32 before completion. Read the rest of this entry »

December 16 2008

Forex Outlook EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3274; (P) 1.3345; (R1) 1.3438

EUR/USD’s rise continues in early US session and reaches as high as 1.3585 so far, taking out mentioned 100% projection of 1.2329 to 1.3290 from 1.2549 at 1.3510. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.3430 minor support holds. Focus now turns to 1.3768 cluster resistance. On the downside, below 1.3430 minor support will turn intraday outlook neutral first. But another rise is still in favor as long as 1.3250 support holds. Read the rest of this entry »

December 14 2008

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 90.75; (P) 91.81; (R1) 92.47

USD/JPY falls sharply to as low as 88.54 today and the strong break of 90.92 low confirms that decline from 110.66 has resumed. At this point, short term outlook will remain bearish as long as 91.15 resistance holds. The current decline is expected to extend further to next target of 100% projection of 124.13 to 95.77 from 110.66 at 82.3. On the upside, while some recovery might be seen, break of 93.90 resistance is needed to indicate that a bottom is in place. Otherwise, short term risks remain on the downside. Read the rest of this entry »

December 02 2008

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 92.30; (P) 93.94; (R1) 94.82

USD/JPY recovers mildly after hitting 92.64 earlier today. Though, at this point, intraday bias remains on the downside as long as 94.25 minor resistance holds. Decline from 100.54 could extend further to retest 90.92 low. On the upside, above 94.25 will turn intraday outlook neutral first. Also, note that the lack of impulsive structure of the fall from 100.54 so far is still arguing that it might be part of the consolidation that started at 90.92. Above 95.74 will indicate that fall from 100.54 has possibly completed. The corrective structure in turn suggests that rebound from 90.92 is still in progress and stronger rally should be seen to 100.54 or above before completion. Read the rest of this entry »

November 25 2008

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2695; (P) 1.2824; (R1) 1.3084

EUR/USD surges further to as high as 1.3080 in early US session and at this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.2803 minor support holds. As discussed before, rise from 1.2423 should represent another rising leg of the consolidation that started at 1.2329 and further rally could be seen to 1.3290 or above. Though, upside is still expected to be limited below 1.3768 cluster resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below will turn intraday outlook neutral first. Further break of 1.2423 will indicate that such consolidation has likely completed and recent down trend is resuming for 50% retracement of 0.8223 to 1.6038 at 1.2131 next. Read the rest of this entry »

November 25 2008

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 95.19; (P) 96.17; (R1) 96.68

USD/JPY’s break of the intraday trend line support with 4 hours MACD dragged down signal line argues that fall from 100.54 might be resuming. Intraday bias is now mildly on the downside and near term focus is turned to 94.47 minor support. Break will confirm this scenario and bring deeper fall to retest 90.92 low first. On the other hand, above 97.13 minor resistance will revive the case that rebound from 90.92 is still in progress for 100.54 or above before completion.

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November 20 2008

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 95.19; (P) 96.17; (R1) 96.68

USD/JPY’s break of the intraday trend line support with 4 hours MACD dragged down signal line argues that fall from 100.54 might be resuming. Intraday bias is now mildly on the downside and near term focus is turned to 94.47 minor support. Break will confirm this scenario and bring deeper fall to retest 90.92 low first. On the other hand, above 97.13 minor resistance will revive the case that rebound from 90.92 is still in progress for 100.54 or above before completion.

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