January 02 2009

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2056; (P) 1.2212; (R1) 1.2321

USD/CAD continues to stay in established range of 1.1985 and 1.2389 as triangle consolidation continues. Though, short term outlook remains unchanged. Further rally is still in favor. Also, fall from 1.3005 should have completed at 1.1818. Break of 1.2514 resistance will confirm this case and bring retest of 1.3005/15 resistance zone. On the downside, though, below 1.1985 will indicate that fall from 1.3005 is probably resuming towards 1.1464 support instead.

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December 30 2008

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2104; (P) 1.2165; (R1) 1.2260

USD/CAD’s rise today suggests that sideway trading from 1.2389 might be completed. Intraday bias is now on the upside as long as 1.2065 minor support holds and further rise should be seen towards 1.2514 resistance. As discussed before, fall from 1.3005 might have completed at 1.1818 already. Break of 1.2514 resistance will confirm this case and bring retest of 1.3005/15 resistance zone. On the downside, though, below 1.2065 will indicate that fall from 1.3005 is probably resuming 1.1464 support instead. Read the rest of this entry »

December 16 2008

Forex Outlook EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3274; (P) 1.3345; (R1) 1.3438

EUR/USD’s rise continues in early US session and reaches as high as 1.3585 so far, taking out mentioned 100% projection of 1.2329 to 1.3290 from 1.2549 at 1.3510. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.3430 minor support holds. Focus now turns to 1.3768 cluster resistance. On the downside, below 1.3430 minor support will turn intraday outlook neutral first. But another rise is still in favor as long as 1.3250 support holds. Read the rest of this entry »

November 25 2008

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2695; (P) 1.2824; (R1) 1.3084

EUR/USD surges further to as high as 1.3080 in early US session and at this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.2803 minor support holds. As discussed before, rise from 1.2423 should represent another rising leg of the consolidation that started at 1.2329 and further rally could be seen to 1.3290 or above. Though, upside is still expected to be limited below 1.3768 cluster resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below will turn intraday outlook neutral first. Further break of 1.2423 will indicate that such consolidation has likely completed and recent down trend is resuming for 50% retracement of 0.8223 to 1.6038 at 1.2131 next. Read the rest of this entry »

November 20 2008

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2555; (P) 1.2628; (R1) 1.2689

EUR/USD’s strong rally in early US session suggests that rebound from 1.2389 is resuming. At this point, intraday bias is mildly on the upside as long as 1.2585 minor support holds. Further rise is in favor to 1.3290 high and 100% projection of 1.2329 to 1.3290 from 1.2389 at 1.3350 to complete the consolidation from 1.2329. Nevertheless, upside is expected be limited below 1.3768 cluster resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.2585 will flip intraday bias back to the downside and break of 1.2389 will be an important indication that consolidation from 1.2329 has completed and recent down trend has resumed for next target of 50% retracement of 0.8223 to 1.6038 at 1.2131

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November 17 2008

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4609; (P) 1.4781; (R1) 1.4907

GBP/USD’s recovery from 1.4557 extends further today and with 4 hours MACD staying well above signal line, an intraday low should be in place. Some more consolidation is in favor. Above 1.4557 will encourage stronger recovery towards 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.5327). But upside should be limited below 1.5600 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.4557 will target mentioned 100% projection of 1.7630 to 1.5269 from 1.6671 at 1.4310.

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November 15 2008

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4600; (P) 1.4796; (R1) 1.5033

GBP/USD recovers mildly after dipping to 1.4557 but upside is still limited below 1.5080 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further decline is still expected to mentioned target of 161.8% projection of 2.0158 to 1.7445 from 1.8668 at 1.4278. On the upside, above 1.5345 will turn intraday outlook neutral first and bring brief consolidation before staging another fall. Read the rest of this entry »

November 14 2008

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2488; (P) 1.2672; (R1) 1.2955

EUR/USD’s strong rebound from 1.2389 indicates that an intraday low is in place and more importantly, it invalidated the triangle breakout scenario and suggests that consolidation from 1.2329 is still in progress. Intraday bias is flipped back to the upside and further rebound could be seen towards 1.3290 high. Though, there is no change in the broader view that price actions from 1.2329 is merely consolidation in the larger down trend. Upside of the current rise from 1.2389 is still expected to be limited below 1.3768 cluster resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.2591 will turn intraday outlook neutral again. Further break of 1.2389 will be an important indication that recent down trend has resumed for next target of 50% retracement of 0.8223 to 1.6038 at 1.2131

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November 14 2008

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2106; (P) 1.2246; (R1) 1.2511

USD/CAD’s rise from 1.1464 extends further to as high as 1.2418 before turning sideway. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.2150 minor support holds. As discussed before, correction from 1.3015 has completed at 1.3015 has completed, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9823 to 1.3015 at 1.1419. Further rise is expected to retest this 1.3015 high. On the downside, below 1.2150 will turn intraday outlook neutral first. Though, another rally is still in favor as long as pull back is contained above 1.1658 support.

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November 12 2008

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5261; (P) 1.5482; (R1) 1.5601

GBP/USD’s fall from 1.6671 extends further to as low as 1.5347 before recovering mildly. At this point, it’s still uncertain on whether such decline represents resumption of the prior down trend or it’s merely part of the consolidation that started at 1.5269. Nevertheless, intraday bias remains on the downside as long as 1.5884 minor resistance holds and retest of 1.5269 low should be seen. Sustained break will confirm that recent down trend has resumed for 161.8% projection of 2.0158 to 1.7445 from 1.8668 at 1.4278 next. On the upside, though, above 1.5884 will suggest that fall from 1.6671 has completed and consolidation from 1.5269 is still in progress for another rise to 1.6771 before completion. Read the rest of this entry »

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