Gold’s rise from 741.2 extends further to as high as 835.3 before retreating mildly. Though, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 798.1 minor support holds. Focus remains on 61.8% retracement of 936.3 to 681 at 838.8. Decisive break will will indicate that correction from 1033.9 might have bottomed out at 681 and stronger rise could be seen targeting 936.3 resistance first. However, bounce off from this fibo resistance will affirm original short term bearish case and indicate that fall from 936.3 is still in progress. Below 798.1 will turn intraday outlook neutral first. Further break of 741.2 support will indicate that corrective rise from 681 has completed and bring retest of this low first. Read the rest of this entry »
Comex Gold (GC)
By : OilNGold
Gold weakens sharply today and is now pressing mentioned 786 minor support. As discussed before, failure below 824.5/838.8 , followed by break of 786.20 support will indicate that correction from 681 has completed. In such case, intraday bias will flip back to the downside first. Further break of 731.4 support will maintain the original bearish view. In such case, fall from 936.3 should be resuming for 681 low and below. On the upside, however, decisive break of mentioned 824.5/838.8 resistance zone will be an early alert that whole correction from 1033.9 has completed and stronger rise should then be seen to test 936.3 resistance first.
In the bigger picture, as mentioned, there is no confirmation that correction from 1033.9 has completed yet. On resumption, it should target next key support zone of 100% projection of 1033.9 to 739.8 from 936.3 at 642.2 and 61.8% retracement of 371.3 to 1033.9 at 624.41. However, break of 824.5/838.8 resistance zone will be the first alert that such correction has completed. Further break of 936.3 resistance will confirm this case and bring retest of 1033.9 high.
Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart
Comex Gold Continuous Contract Daily Chart
Comex Gold (GC)
At this moment, Gold is still struggling below mentioned 824.5/838.8 resistance zone. Outlook remains unchanged. Intraday bias remains mildly on the upside as long as 786.20 minor support holds. Decisive break of mentioned 824.5/838.8 resistance zone will be an early alert that whole correction from 1033.9 has completed and stronger rise should then be seen to test 936.3 resistance first. However, on the downside, failure below 824.5/838.8 , followed by break of 786.20 support will indicate that an intraday top is formed. Further break of 739.2 support will maintain the original bearish view. In such case, fall from 936.3 should be resuming for 681 low and below. Read the rest of this entry »
Not change in Gold’s outlook as consolidation continues between 717.1 and 778.3. The development so far argues that it’s in form of a triangle pattern which could be completing. As discussed before, below 717.10 will indicate that such consolidation from 684.6 has completed. In such case, retest of 684.60 low should be seen first and then 100% projection of 1033.9 to 739.8 from 936.3 at 642.2. On the upside, while another rise cannot be ruled out for the moment, we’d still expect upside to be limited below 824.5 resistance and bring down trend resumption. Read the rest of this entry »
Comex Gold (GC)
Gold’s rise from 698.2 extends further to as high as 820.20 today so far. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 786.20 minor support holds. As discussed before, focus is now on resistance zone of 824.5 and 61.8% retracement of 936.3 to 681 at 838.8. Sustained break of mentioned 824.5/838.8 resistance zone will be an early alert that whole correction from 1033.9 has completed and stronger rise should then be seen to test 936.3 resistance first. Read the rest of this entry »
USD/JPY spiraled lower to 93.55 last week but downside momentum was rather unconvincing. So far, the structure of the fall from 100.54 to 93.55 is still looking corrective, arguing that rebound from 90.92 is not over. Anyway, with 4 hours MACD crossed above signal line, initial outlook is neutral this week. Break of 98.18 will favor the case that rise 90.92 is still in progress and another rally could be seen to 100.54 or above before completion. On the downside, though, below 93.55 will indicate that fall from 100.54 is still in progress and will continue to target 90.92 low. Read the rest of this entry »
Mid-Day Report: Dollar Weakens as Consolidation Continues, FOMC Minutes Next
Dollar is sharply lower against European majors in early US session as consolidation continues. Technically speaking, as discussed in our technical outlook reports, more upside is still expected in EUR/USD and GBP/USD. Meanwhile, USD/CHF retreats sharply after edging higher to 1.2082 earlier today. Dollar index’s dip below 4 hours 55 EMA argues that some more pull back should be seen before resuming recent rally. Elsewhere, Crude oil, rides on dollar’s retreat and rebounds strongly from intraday low of 53.66 to above 55.6. Focus will now turn to FOMC minutes for inspirations on further volatility. Though, ,markets are pricing in 90% chance of another 50bps cut from Fed on Dec 16 and the minutes will likely have little impact to this view based on current economic and inflation outlook. Read the rest of this entry »
Gold continues to stay in established range without any direction. Consolidation from 684.60 is still in progress and is probably in form of a contracting triangle. Having said that, further upside cannot be ruled out as long as 698.2 minor support holds but we’d still expect such consolidation to be limited below 824.5 support turned resistance and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 698.2 will be an early alert that such consolidation has completed. It will flip intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 684.6 low first. Break will confirm recent down trend has resumed.
In the bigger picture, correction from 1033.9 is still in force and should be targeting next key support zone of 100% projection of 1033.9 to 739.8 from 936.3 at 642.2 and 61.8% retracement of 371.3 to 1033.9 at 624.41. On the upside, while some rebound might be seen, break of 936.3 is needed to confirm that fall from 1033.9 has completed. Otherwise, medium term outlook will remain bearish.
Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart
Comex Gold Continuous Contract Daily Chart
BY OilNGold
Silver’s fall from 10.8 extends further to as low as 9.53 before recovering mildly. 4 hours MACD’s turn negative argues that rebound from 8.4 has completed at 10.8 already. Also, failure to take out 11.195 resistance didn’t confirm that a short term bottom is formed. At this point, intraday bias is mildly on the downside as long as 10.535 minor resistance holds. Break of 9.2 will confirm that rebound has completed and will bring retest of 8.4 low. On the upside, above 10.535 will turn intraday outlook neutral again. Further break of 11.95 will confirm a short term bottom is in place with bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and RSI and will bring strong rally towards 13.88 resistance. Read the rest of this entry »
Natural Gas’s break of 6.72 minor support affirms the case that rebound from 5.99 has completed at 7.36. The three wave corrective structure argues that it’s merely a correction in the larger down trend. At this point, further decline is expected to retest 5.99 low first. On the upside, above 7.36 is needed to revive the case that a short term bottom is formed. Read the rest of this entry »
